In an ideal scenario, the Chicago Cubs would lock in Kyle Tucker with a long-term deal worth under $500 million. But following Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s recent mega-extension, that hope may already be out of reach. The big question now is: what will Tucker’s market value truly be—and will the Cubs be willing to meet it?
After trading for the talented lefty slugger from the Houston Astros, it would be surprising if Chicago doesn’t pursue a long-term extension. Still, considering the recent track record of president Jed Hoyer and Cubs ownership, fans may not be holding their breath.
Looking ahead to next offseason, Steve Adams of MLB Trade Rumors projected that Tucker could command at least $365 million—a figure that could actually represent a best-case outcome for the Cubs.
“The icing on the cake for Tucker is that he won’t turn 29 until next January, meaning he’ll play the entire 2026 season in his prime,” Adams wrote. “That gives him an edge over other top bats hitting free agency, many of whom will be entering their 30s. If Tucker maintains his current form, he could become just the fourth player in MLB history to land a $400 million-plus deal. At minimum, he’s positioned to surpass Mookie Betts’ 12-year, $365 million contract.”
Though $365 million may seem low to some analysts, it could be a realistic outcome if Tucker doesn’t meet his performance goals. Then again, given his scorching start to 2024—currently boasting a 198 OPS+—a drop-off doesn’t look likely.